Return Analysis
Analyze the 30-Day SEC Yield of iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY) and estimate its price for this year.
Key Point 130-Day SEC Yield 
4.11%
Key Point 2Estimated Price for This Year
$81
The median of the FED's interest rate dot plot for this year is 4.4 %
The current effective FED rate is 4.58 %
Treasury Yield
Treasury Yield Data and Analysis for iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF(SHY)
Information of Treasury Yield
| 30-Day SEC Yield | 4.11% |
| 12-Month Dividend Yield | 3.86% |
| Yield to Maturity (YTM) | 4.3% |
Treasury Yield Analysis
| Average Maturity Duration | 1.9 years |
| Average Duration | 1.81 years |
Estimated Median Value Based on the Interest Rate Dot Plot
Estimate future ETF prices based on the FED's interest rate dot plot and the historical correlation with yields. The current effective FED rate is 4.58%
| Estimate for the Year | Median Interest Rate Based on FED Dot Plot | Corresponding Treasury Name | Estimated Rate for Corresponding Treasury | Estimated ETF Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 4.4% | DGS2 | 4.27% | $81 |
| 2025 | 3.4% | DGS2 | 3.44% | $81.9 |
| 2026 | 2.9% | DGS2 | 3.02% | $82.3 |
| 2027 | 2.9% | DGS2 | 3.02% | $82.3 |
Disclaimer
1. The information provided is for reference only and does not constitute any guarantee of profits or specific stock and price point recommendations.
2. The information is not complete; for comprehensive data, please refer to the relevant websites.
3. All stock market data analyses are subject to survivorship bias.
