Leading Indicator Analysis

By analyzing interest rates, yield spreads, consumption, inventory levels, employment, inflation, commodity prices, and other relevant data through financial AI, the future rate of return can be estimated. This process helps identify leading indicators that impact future stock prices.

Key Point 1 Leading Indicators Analysis for Annual Returns
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Excellent

Current Influence 100%

Key Point 2 Leading Indicators Analysis for Quarterly Returns
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Moderate

Current Influence -14%

Overview of Top 10 Historical Leading Indicators

By analyzing interest rates, yield spreads, consumption, inventory levels, employment, inflation, commodity prices, and other relevant data through financial AI, the future rate of return can be estimated. This process helps identify leading indicators that impact future stock prices.

Leading Indicators for Annual ReturnsLeading Indicators for Quarterly Returns

Overview of the Top 10 Historical Leading Indicators for TLT

RankingLeading IndicatorsValuesCorrelationHistorical Total
Influence Proportion
Current Influence
1MORTGAGE30US_log s1d1.90.412%
68%
2BUSINV_QoQ s2m00.110%
-78%
3DGS10 s1d4.40.58%
62%
4DGS10_log s1d1.50.55%
37%
5MORTGAGE30US s1d6.80.45%
29%
6US Corn_YoY s1d00.14%
-26%
7T10Y2Y s1d0.10.33%
-30%
8BAMLH0A0HYM2_YoY s1d-0.203%
13%
9PAYEMS s2m159005-0.23%
0%
10USD_YoY s1d002%
16%

Bullish Leading Indicators

The current key bullish leading indicators and their degrees of influence.

Leading Indicators for Annual ReturnsLeading Indicators for Quarterly Returns

Ranking of Influence for Bullish Leading Indicators on TLT

RankLeading IndicatorsValueCorrelationHistorical Total
Influence Proportion
Current Influence
1MORTGAGE30US_log s1d1.90.412%
68%
2DGS10 s1d4.40.58%
62%
3Copper_log s1d1.4-0.11%
51%
4DGS10_log s1d1.50.55%
37%
5MORTGAGE30US s1d6.80.45%
29%

Bearish Leading Indicators

The current key bearish leading indicators and their degrees of influence.

Leading Indicators for Annual ReturnsLeading Indicators for Quarterly Returns

Ranking of Influence for Bearish Leading Indicators on TLT

RankLeading IndicatorsValueCorrelationHistorical Total
Influence Proportion
Current Influence
1BUSINV_QoQ s2m00.110%
-78%
2T10Y2Y s1d0.10.33%
-30%
3US Corn_YoY s1d00.14%
-26%
4DX-Y.NYB_QoQ s1d0.1-0.21%
-24%
5US Corn_YoY_log s1d6.101%
-15%

Disclaimer

1. The information provided is for reference only and does not constitute any guarantee of profits or specific stock and price point recommendations.

2. The information is not complete; for comprehensive data, please refer to the relevant websites.

3. All stock market data analyses are subject to survivorship bias.

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